Day Four Preview and Tips

(Grade 1) - 2 miles, 179 yards

1-2-3 PREDICTION:

(1) Tritonic

(2) Zanahiyr

(3) Adagio

RUNNERS TO WATCH

• Adagio (4 year old, D. Pipe) – Comfortably won over course and distance at Cheltenham in December before following up in a Grade 1 Juvenile Hurdle at Chepstow, winning readily. Chances.
• Quilixios (4 year old, H.De Bromhead) – 4 wins from 4 runs over hurdles, the latest a comfortable win in the Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown in February.
• Tritonic (4 year old, A. King) – Kept on strongly to win his first start over hurdles at Ascot in January. Followed up with an impressive 10 length win at Kempton. Tritonic has the potential to be a top-class hurdler.
• Haut En Couleurs (4 year old, W.P. Mullins) – Won his only start over hurdles at Auteuil in October before changing hands to Willie Mullins. Respected.

LAST 5 WINNERS

2020 – Burning Victory (12/1)           Age 4     Trainer: W.P. Mullins

2019 – Pentland Hills (20/1)              Age 4     Trainer: N. Henderson

2018 – Farclas (9/1)                           Age 4     Trainer: G. Elliott

2017 – Defi Du Seuil (5/2 F)              Age 4     Trainer: P. Hobbs

2016 – Ivanovich Gorbatov (9/2 F)   Age 4     Trainer: A. O’Brien

HOT TRAINERS

Alan King – won 2 of the last 16 Triumph Hurdles. Runner: Tritonic

FOLLOW THE FAVOURITES?

Favourites have won 3 of the last 6 renewals, the latest fav to win was Defi Du Seuil in 2017.

UK v IRELAND

Ireland lead 5 – 3 over the past 8 years, but the score for the last 20 renewals is 6 Ireland, 13 UK & 1 France.

DID YOU KNOW?

2 of the previous 12 winners had winning form at Cheltenham.
5 of the last 9 winners had run the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown on their previous start.
11 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 win that season.

Made your selections?

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(Grade 1) - 2 miles, 7 furlongs. 213 yards

1-2-3 PREDICTION:

(1) Fakiera

(2) Stattler

(3) Alaphilippe

RUNNERS TO WATCH

• Alaphilippe (7 year old, F. O’Brien) – 3 wins from 4 runs over hurdles including an impressive 14 length win in the Grade 2 Prestige Novices’ Hurdle at Haydock last time out. One for the shortlist.
• Barbados Buck’s (6 year old, P. Nicholls) – Improving sort who completed his hattrick at Kempton in January, will need to improve again, but there’s no reason why he won’t.
• Threeunderthrufive (6 year old, P. Nicholls) – Unbeaten in three starts over hurdles, just doing enough to win at Musselburgh last month. There’s plenty of room for improvement.
• Stattler (6 year old, W.P. Mullins) – Decent third place in a Grade 1 Novices’ Hurdle at Leopardstown in February for Willie Mullins who has an excellent recent record in this race (2 winners and a third in the past 4 years).

LAST 5 WINNERS

2020 – Monkfish (5/1)                    Age 6    Trainer: W.P. Mullins
2019 – Minella Indo (50/1)              Age 6    Trainer: H. De Bromhead
2018 – Kilbricken Storm (33/1)       Age 7    Trainer: C. Tizzard
2017 – Penhill (16/1)                        Age 6    Trainer: W.P. Mullins
2016 – Unowhatimeanharry (11/1)  Age 6     Trainer: H. Fry

HOT TRAINERS

Willie Mullins – 2 winners and a third in the past 4 years. Runner: Stattler

FOLLOW THE FAVOURITES?

Favourites have 4 of 16 since this race was first run, the last winning favourite was At Fishers Cross 8 years ago.

AGE STATS

13 of 16 winners were aged either 6 or 7 (eight 6-year-olds & five 7- year- olds).

UK v IRELAND

A tight contest, the score is Ireland 7 v 8 UK for the last 15 renewals. Ireland have won 5 of the last 7 though.

DID YOU KNOW?

4 of the last 10 winners had winning form round Cheltenham.
6 of the last 10 winners had won their previous race.
11 of the last 12 winners had at least 3 runs that season.
10 of the last 12 winners had won at least 1 hurdle race that season.

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(Grade 1) - 3 miles, 2 furlongs, 70 yards

1-2-3 PREDICTION:

(1) Royale Pagaille

(2) Minella Indo

(3) Native River

RUNNERS TO WATCH

• Al Boum Photo (9 year old, W.P. Mullins) – Looking for a hattrick of Gold Cup wins, Al Boum Photo comes here via the identical route of a comfortable win in Tramore’s New Year’s Day Chase. Reportedly in great shape. The one to beat.
• A Plus Tard (7 year old, H. De Bromhead) – Won the Grade 1 Savills Chase at Leopardstown ahead of Kemboy in December. Not certain to stay up the hill, but if he does, he’s in with a shout.
• Champ (9 year old, N. Henderson) – Winner of the RSA Chase at the Festival last year, returned after a break with a decent second at Newbury over an unsuitable trip. Nicky Henderson has been unlucky with 3 seconds in the last 3 years. Chances.
• Native River (11 year old, C. Tizzard) – The popular 2018 Gold Cup winner still retains plenty of ability and comes here in good heart after staying on strongly to win the Cotswold Chase at Sandown last month. Place chances.
• Royale Pagaille (7 year old, V. Williams) – Much improved this season, winning all 3 chases. His easy 16 length win in The Peter Marsh handicap Chase at Haydock in January puts him in contention. One to watch.

LAST 5 WINNERS

2020 – Al Boum Photo (10/3 F)     Age 8     Trainer: W.P. Mullins
2019 – Al Boum Photo (12/1)          Age 7     Trainer: W.P. Mullins
2018 – Native River (5/1)                Age 8     Trainer: C. Tizzard
2017 – Sizing John (7/1)                 Age 7      Trainer: Mrs J. Harrington
2016 – Don Cossack (9/4 F)          Age 9      Trainer: G. Elliott

HOT TRAINERS

Nicky Henderson has had three 2nds in the last three years on top of his two wins in the last 10 renewals.

FOLLOW THE FAVOURITES?

9 favourites have won in the last 20 running’s, including Al Boum Photo at 10/3 last year.

AGE STATS

7- and 8-year-olds are best winning 13 of the last 20. In that time only one 6-year-old has won and four 9-year-olds. The last time a horse older than 9 won was 10-year-old Cool Dawn in 1998.

DID YOU KNOW?

9 of the last 10 winners had won at least once that season.
The last 3 winners had had just one run that season, on each occasion they won that race.
12 of the last 12 winners had won at least one Grade 1 race previously.
6 of the last 12 winners had previous winning form round Cheltenham.
9 of the last 10 winners had previously won a race at 3+ miles.

The Tote Trifecta for the Cheltenham Gold Cup has beaten the Tricast for the last four years, overpaying by 60% on average.

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